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Global-scale environmental changes in mountain protected areas, the CLIMET project
Daniel B. Fagre1 and David L. Peterson2
1. USGS Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, West Glacier, MT
2. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA
The CLIMET (Climate Landscape Interactions – Mountain Ecosystem Transect) project was developed to investigate the influence of climatic variability on a transect of three distinct mountain bioregions, with large mountain national parks as core research sites, from the Pacific Coast to the Rocky Mountains. Glacier, North Cascades, and Olympic National Parks are large, wilderness-dominated parks that reflect a gradient of climatic influences from maritime (Olympic) to continental (Glacier). In each bioregion, we documented impacts of past climatic variability on glacier mass balance, snowpack water equivalence, hydrological output, forest growth, invasion by trees into subalpine meadows, and frequency and severity of wildfires. For instance, glaciers in Glacier have been reduced from 150 to 27 during the past 150 years and wildfires in Washington have responded to multidecadal climatic shifts such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. The BIOME-BGC model was used to examine spatial variability in climate, vegetation production, water budgets, and carbon stocks along the transect to assess impacts on human populations now and in the future. A climate change scenario that decreased current summer precipitation and increased annual temperature resulted in reduced water supplies (outflows) at mid-elevation sites but the highest elevations, which have miniscule spatial representation, actually increased outflow.


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